Guster’s Guarantees

michael stay calm

This week we have good news, bad news, and more bad news! Lets start with the good news – college picks have recovered nicely, returning to the green going 3-2. Bad news – pro picks went belly up, crashing and burning at 0-5 for the second time this season. Fun little tidbit for you guys – through the first 13 weeks since the inception of Guster’s Guarantees there were zero 0-5 days, and since then there have been 3 in a row! *internally screaming*. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Fool me THREE TIMES, FUCK! FUCK! FUCK! Okay i’m sorry I just needed to get that out of my system. Cherry on top of this shit sundae was Josh squeezing out another win this week to tie up the challenge at 4-4. Deep breaths everyone, plenty of weeks left to go and we will stop the bleeding, I promise you that.

One additional note this week, I have channeled some of my frustrations into some analytics work (which helps calm me down) and produced an updated tracker for all of the picks and challenges so that the history and current standings can be more easily accessed. I will post it each week at the bottom of the column.

 

Josh challenges:

Ohio State -14 vs Wisconsin

Bold choice by Josh here to dip into the college arena where he was just 1-4 prior. Ohio State has been an absolute cash cow all year and Wisconsin just had their Big Ten championship hopes crushed after being upset the week before by 30 point underdog Illinois. This is the type of situation where motivation plays a huge role. Ohio State is rolling and on track for the playoff, whereas Wisconsin now has little to push them in a spot where they’d need every ounce of juice they can get to stay competitive in Columbus. Despite keeping it close early in the second half, Wisconsin ran out of gas as anticipated and the Buckeyes blew the door off with four straight touchdowns to seal a 38-7 win. Josh felt that Wisconsin might be motivated by the disrespect of a two touchdown spread, but sometimes the disrespect is just warranted. 1-0 Gus going into Sunday.

CAR +6 @ SF

I have been waiting for the other shoe to fall on the Niners all year long but Jimmy G & co. just won’t let it happen. Gotta give Josh credit on this one, he nailed the handicap to a tee. San Francisco showed that they were clearly the better team and Kyle Allen’s spotless record finally regressed to the mean as he threw 3 interceptions and the Panthers never got within arms length on this one. 1-1.

HOU -6.5 vs OAK

Rubber game of the week in Houston was a tight one. Raiders grabbed the early lead and kept the Texans at arms length for the majority of the day until late in the 4th quarter when Deshaun Watson pulled out some eye opening heroics (see what I did there) and got the lead for the first time in the game with 6 and a half minutes left. After forcing Oakland to punt on the ensuing drive my only opportunity for a rare front door cover was for Houston to break one all the way to the end zone, but unfortunately they would run out the clock and fall short of the 6.5, winning 27-24. 2-1 Josh.

Series tied 4-4 😦

denzel slam

 

Week 8/9 Results:

 

College picks – [3-2]

Ohio State -14 vs Wisconsin

38-7 Ohio State – WIN

Michigan State +7 vs Penn State

28-7 Penn State – LOSS

Iowa State -10 vs Oklahoma State

34-27 Oklahoma State – LOSS

Michigan pk vs Notre Dame

45-14 Michigan – WIN

Washington State +14 @ Oregon

37-35 Oregon – WIN

 

Pro picks – [0-5]

DET -6.5 vs NYG

31-26 DET – LOSS

IND -4.5 vs DEN

15-13 IND – LOSS

UNDER 43 BUF vs PHI

31-13 PHI – LOSS

CAR +6 @ SF

51-13 SF – LOSS

HOU -6.5 vs OAK

27-24 HOU – LOSS

 

Overall Week – [3-7]

Season Record – [43-37]

Total Record – [85-70]

 

*DISCLAIMER: GUSTER’S GUARANTEES IS NOT LIABLE FOR ANY WAGERS LOST IN RELATION TO ANY SUGGESTIONS MADE DURING THIS SEGMENT*

Week 10 NCAAF Picks

Michigan -21 @ Maryland

Virginia Tech +17.5 @ Notre Dame

Florida +7 vs Georgia

USC +4.5 vs Oregon

Hawaii -2 vs Fresno State

 

Week 9 NFL Picks

OVER 51.5 TB @ SEA

OAK -2.5 vs DET

CLE -3.5 @ DEN

GB -3.5 @ LAC

NE -3 @ BAL

 

 

PICKS TRACKER

NCAAF NFL Week Season Total
Post # Year Week W L W L W L W L W L
1 2018 6,7 4 1 3 2 7 3 7 3 7 3
2 2018 7,8 3 2 4 1 7 3 14 6 14 6
3 2018 8,9 2 3 2 3 4 6 18 12 18 12
4 2018 9,10 3 2 3 2 6 4 24 16 24 16
5 2018 10,11 0 0 2 3 2 3 26 19 26 19
6 2018 11,12 2 3 4 1 6 4 32 23 32 23
7 2018 12,13 3 2 3 2 6 4 38 27 38 27
8 2018 13,14 2 3 2 3 4 6 42 33 42 33
9 2019 1,2 4 1 3 2 7 3 7 3 49 36
10 2019 2,3 4 1 4 1 8 2 15 5 57 38
11 2019 3,4 3 2 4 1 7 3 22 8 64 41
12 2019 4,5 3 2 1 4 4 6 26 14 68 47
13 2019 5,6 4 1 4 1 8 2 34 16 76 49
14 2019 6,7 4 1 0 5 4 6 38 22 80 55
15 2019 7,8 0 5 2 3 2 8 40 30 82 63
16 2019 8,9 3 2 0 5 3 7 43 37 85 70

CHALLENGE TRACKER

NCAAF NFL Picks Weeks
Week Gus Josh Gus Josh Gus Josh Gus Josh
1 0 0 2 1 2 1 1 0
2 0 0 3 0 5 1 2 0
3 0 1 0 0 5 2 2 1
4 1 0 0 2 6 4 2 2
5 1 0 2 0 9 4 3 2
6 1 0 0 2 10 6 3 3
7 1 0 0 0 11 6 4 3
8 1 0 0 2 12 8 4 4

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